There’s two types of Stage 2 breakouts.  The first is a breakout from a Stage 1 base and this is simply referred to as a “Stage 2 breakout”.  The second is a breakout from a consolidation within an existing uptrend, this is referred to as a “Stage 2 continuation breakout”.  Both of these breakouts are considered to be the entry points in Stage Analysis where you would be buying a position.  Here’s a visual example of both breakouts from Stan Weinstein’s book: Example of a Stage 2 Breakout – Source: Secrets For Profiting In Bull And Bear Markets, Example of a Stage 2 Continuation Breakout – Source: Secrets For Profiting In Bull And Bear Markets. I came across Weinstein’s techniques recently and this website really compliments them. Determining the trend direction is important for maximizing the potential success of a trade. Since the majority of stocks rise and fall along with the rest of the stock market, it is very important to know the stage the major market indexes are in.  Most stocks will trend along with the rest of the market.  If the major indexes are in a Stage 2 advance, you can expect the majority of stocks to also be in a Stage 2 advance.  The most important thing to keep an eye on is when the overall market transitions into a Stage 4 decline.  Since most stocks will be declining along with the rest of the market at that point it would be prudent to get out of long positions and stay conservative while the market declines. Ford Motor (F) from the previous example broke out of its Stage 1 base on a big increase in volume and continued to trend higher above the 30 week moving average. I like the “Weight of the Evidence” approach that Stan discusses where you first start with the indexes and then move to the best sectors and stocks in individual sectors. In particular, if a process is predictable, that will make available a winning betting strategy on the sequence of outcomes of that process, which cannot therefore be a KML-random sequence of outcomes. One of the best explanation on Trend following. Usually the resistance from bagholders keeps pressure on the stock which is what creates the Stage 1 base. Apparently, In the book "Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets", Stan Weinstein breaks a stock's life cycle up into 4 phases and goes on to say that the most profitable time to buy a stock is at the end of phase 1 (basing / accumulation stage). Thanks for your contribution to the discussion and the excellent exposition of his methods. Accumulation tends to speed up near the end of the pattern, triggering a set of higher-than-average volume spikes that show enthusiastic buying interest. It’s certainly possible for a stock to just have a V-bounce from a Stage 4 downtrend and not form much of a Stage 1 base. So we’d let it trail but every so often tighten/review it up from each swing low? You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in our. Besides recognizing a Stage 4 downtrend being able to identify a Stage 2 breakout and examine its quality is the most important part of the system.  In Stage 2 the stock breaks out of the horizontal base and begins advancing over a period of time.  While the stock moves higher, most of the advance should occur above a rising 30-week moving average.Â. So I only use ema and voulme. It was discussed in detail by Stan Weinstein in the book Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets.. I’ve read the Weinstein’s book but I can’t find a clue regarding the need to use both weekly AND daily charts to operate in the markets. 3. Stage Analysis is a strategy for longer term trend trading. 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